> From: Noelle <noelle> > Date: Tue, 23 Jul 2019 11:47:57 -0700 (PDT) > > related to what we were talking about All the more reason that alternative voting systems are needed. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condorcet_method > > Date: Mon, 22 Jul 2019 20:35:15 +0000 > > From: "FAIR" <http://www.fair.org/~fair> > > > > ‘White Men Have No Electability Advantage’ - CounterSpin interview with > > Brenda Choresi Carter on the electability myth > > > > Janine Jackson interviewed Brenda Choresi Carter about the electability > > myth for the July 19, 2019, episode > > CounterSpin . This is a lightly edited transcript. Play Stop pop out > > > > Election Focus 2020 Janine Jackson : “‘Electability’ Is the Most > > Important, Least Understood Word in the 2020 Race,” was the headline on a > > recent NBC News piece > > That electability is important in an election sounds tautological. But > > NBC is, of course, getting at the fact that Democrats, for example, when > > asked by pollsters who they would like to see in office, will often give a > > different answer than to the question of who they will vote for—the > > difference based on some ill-defined calculations about who their neighbors > > might vote for, or who media are telling them stands a chance. > > > > But what are those things based on? And, more to the point, if we continue > > to define who’s electable based on who has been elected —ahem, white > > men—how will change ever happen? > > > > The Reflective Democracy Campaign > > is an effort to illuminate questions of the demographics of political > > power, and to disrupt them. Their latest report is called The Electability > > Myth > > . Brenda Choresi Carter directs the Reflective Democracy Campaign. She > > joins us now by phone from Washington, DC. Welcome to CounterSpin, Brenda > > Choresi Carter. > > > > Brenda Choresi Carter: I’m happy to be here. NBC: 'Electability' is the > > most important, least understood word in the 2020 race > > > > JJ: Let’s leap right in. Describe the database—unique, I believe—that > > you’re working with, and how does your latest running of the numbers > > challenge the conventional wisdom around electability? > > > > BCC: Our database looks at the race and gender of everybody who holds > > elected office in America at the county level and higher, plus in the 200 > > largest cities. We also analyze the race and gender of candidates on the > > general election ballot for those same offices. > > > > This is, as you noted, a first-of-its-kind database that provides this kind > > of comprehensive mapping of race and gender and political power in America. > > And we feel like it’s really important just to actually have the numbers. > > > > So we looked at who ran in 2018, up and down the ballot, and who won, and > > who holds office now. And this is a continuation of studies that we’ve > > been doing since 2014, tracking race and gender and political candidacy and > > political office. > > > > And we found that when we looked at who was on the ballot in 2018 by race > > and gender, and who won by race and gender, white men have no electability > > advantage; they do not win at higher rates than other groups, and, in fact, > > if you really want to get specific about it, they actually win at slightly > > lower rates than other groups. So they are not the safe bet they are often > > assumed to be when thinking about political candidates. > > > > JJ: Now, you note at the outset, of course, that white men dominate > > politics. And so when you say they don’t have an electability advantage, > > what is it that you’re tracking that is showing that? > > > > BCC: The reason that white men disproportionately hold political power— > > well, there are a lot of reasons. > > > > JJ: Right. > > > > BCC: But in terms of just looking at the data, it’s because they’re > > disproportionately on the ballot. > > > > JJ: Right. > > > > BCC: So when candidates get on the general election ballot, regardless of > > their race and/or gender, they win at the same rates. So the real problem > > here is who’s ending up on our ballots, who voters are offered to choose > > from when they go to vote. Newsweek: Women Are 'Less Effective in Politics > > Than Men,' 1 in 5 Democratic and Independent Male Voters Say: Poll > > > > JJ: So it sounds like Newsweek is assessing > > > > it correctly when they say that the research suggests that > > > > the over-representation of white men in politics is less about voters� > > � discrimination, than barriers to entry that keep fewer women and > > people of color from running in the first place. > > > > So let’s talk a little about some of the barriers to women and people of > > color being on the ballot in the first place, that your report notes. > > > > BCC: Yes, that’s exactly right. When voters go into the voting booth to > > vote, they are presented with a ballot that is the result of a long and > > usually invisible process of selection and support. There are pretty high > > barriers to entry into politics for everyone, but women and people of color > > face even higher ones. > > > > And, in particular, the problem of political gatekeepers is one that I > > think even engaged voters often don’t understand, because it’s so > > invisible. So political parties, major donors, advocacy organizations, > > groups like the Chamber of Commerce or the Sierra Club, or other > > organizations that shape who is on the ballot, and which candidates get the > > support to run and win, are a crucial bottleneck in the system here. > > > > Those political gatekeepers are themselves disproportionately white men; > > they really capture the phrase “old boys’ club.” And when they’re > > looking around, deciding who they’re going to support for political > > office, they often choose from their own networks, from people they already > > know, and from people who end up looking a lot like themselves. > > > > JJ: And you note that a lot of that gatekeeping is hidden, really, from > > public view; by the time you get in the voting booth, it’s already > > happened. When I think of gatekeepers, I also do think of media; they > > clearly have a role here, they have their own criteria for electability > > that has to do with fundraising, but then also they can kind of themselves > > declare candidates unelectable. > > > > Listeners might remember the Howard Dean scream > > ; media were just like, “Oh, he’s toast,” you know? And everyone > > said, “Oh, I guess he’s toast.” > > > > I think using actual numbers, you know, as you, as you said, at the outset, > > would be a great advance beyond anecdote, but how could media talk about > > this set of issues more responsibly? > > > > BCC: I do think the numbers are incredibly important here. You know, you > > really can’t argue with them. And having reality-based conversations and > > analysis, rather than coverage that’s based on hunches or feelings or > > conventional wisdom, would be incredibly helpful. > > > > Of course, the electability conversation is really swirling around the > > Democratic presidential primary right now, for very good reasons. There’s > > so much hand-wringing about whether a woman can win. And, you know, I’m > > not a prognosticator about political elections; that’s not what I do. But > > looking at the historical data, we have one data point to look at, where > > there was a woman as a major party nominee in recent history, and that was > > Hillary Clinton, and she won a majority of votes. > > > > JJ: Right. > > > > BCC: It’s surprising to me how often that gets overlooked or swept > > under the rug in the discussion on this question. > > > > JJ: I find something just heartrending about the disconnect, about people > > saying, for example, as they do, they would be happy with a woman president, > > but their neighbors wouldn’t be. Or the Democratic poll that said > > that people said if they had a “magic wand,” this person would be > > president, but that’s not who they’re going to vote for. It sort of > > reminds me of parents who say, “ I’m not sorry that my child is gay, it�> > ��s just that I know others are going to be unkind to them.” > > > > It’s a kind of pre-worry, based on this kind of Gresham’s law , > > that the worst is always going to win out, so we should just do what’s > > been done, to keep safe. And it ensures that the future is going to look > > like the past. > > > > BCC: Yeah, that’s very well put. I think it’s also, maybe a different > > way of saying it, it is a kind of illustration of the really diminished > > expectations that people have come to have of political life and political > > representation. We are so used to one group, white men—and in most cases, > > wealthy white men—dominating political life and political decision-making, > > that to imagine anything else seems just to be almost like it’s hoping > > for the impossible. But our data shows that that’s not the case. > > > > JJ: Exactly. Yeah. Brenda Choresi Carter > > > > Brenda Choresi Carter: “The problem here is not, by and large, voters; > > they are not the reason we don’t have a reflective democracy. They are > > voting for women and people of color just as often as white men.” > > > > BCC: And so that’s why I do think our research and the data that we found > > is actually incredibly hopeful. The problem here is not, by and large, > > voters; they are not the reason we don’t have a reflective democracy. > > They are voting for women and people of color just as often as white men. > > > > JJ: And then, because it’s not, after all, an artificial exercise to get > > more women and people of color into elected office; it’s working towards > > there being a real relationship between power and people. > > > > And I guess I also am very heartened by the report, and I guess I also, > > based on what we’ve just been saying, I’m also heartened that so many > > women and people of color see electoral politics as a place for them, as a > > ground that they won’t cede, despite the way they’re often treated, as > > we’re seeing right this minute. And so part of my takeaway from this > > report is that people are thinking, “The water’s not fine at all, but > > you should still jump in,” if you are thinking of standing for office at > > any level. > > > > BCC: Yeah, I think that’s true. I mean, we saw a real uptick, really a > > surge of women of all races in 2018, running and winning up and down the > > ballot. And I think it reflects the incredible urgency that people feel > > about the moment that we’re in, given how really unwelcoming the > > political field is to nontraditional candidates. > > > > Like you said, the water is not fine. People are still willing to plunge > > into it, because it’s very clear that leaving decision-making power in > > the hands of the groups who have long held it, to the exclusion of the rest > > of us, is not working. And we can’t wait for that to somehow work itself > > out, because it won’t work itself out. We have to bust in and insist that > > power be shared in a different kind of way. > > > > JJ: We’ve been speaking with Brenda Choresi Carter of the Reflective > > Democracy Campaign. > > You can find their work, including the report The Electability Myth