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Re: ¡White Men Have No Electability Advantage¢ - CounterSpin interview with Brenda Choresi Carter on the electability... (fwd)
- To: noelle
- Subject: Re: ¡White Men Have No Electability Advantage¢ - CounterSpin interview with Brenda Choresi Carter on the electability... (fwd)
- From: robert <http://dummy.us.eu.org/robert>
- Date: Sat, 27 Jul 2019 10:20:39 -0700
- Keywords: my-Oakland-voicemail-number
> From: Noelle <noelle>
> Date: Tue, 23 Jul 2019 11:47:57 -0700 (PDT)
>
> related to what we were talking about
All the more reason that alternative voting systems are needed.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condorcet_method
> > Date: Mon, 22 Jul 2019 20:35:15 +0000
> > From: "FAIR" <http://www.fair.org/~fair>
> >
> > ‘White Men Have No Electability Advantage’ - CounterSpin interview with
> > Brenda Choresi Carter on the electability myth
> >
> > Janine Jackson interviewed Brenda Choresi Carter about the electability
> > myth for the July 19, 2019, episode
> > CounterSpin . This is a lightly edited transcript. Play Stop pop out
> >
> > Election Focus 2020 Janine Jackson : “‘Electability’ Is the Most
> > Important, Least Understood Word in the 2020 Race,” was the headline on a
> > recent NBC News piece
> > That electability is important in an election sounds tautological. But
> > NBC is, of course, getting at the fact that Democrats, for example, when
> > asked by pollsters who they would like to see in office, will often give a
> > different answer than to the question of who they will vote for—the
> > difference based on some ill-defined calculations about who their neighbors
> > might vote for, or who media are telling them stands a chance.
> >
> > But what are those things based on? And, more to the point, if we continue
> > to define who’s electable based on who has been elected —ahem, white
> > men—how will change ever happen?
> >
> > The Reflective Democracy Campaign
> > is an effort to illuminate questions of the demographics of political
> > power, and to disrupt them. Their latest report is called The Electability
> > Myth
> > . Brenda Choresi Carter directs the Reflective Democracy Campaign. She
> > joins us now by phone from Washington, DC. Welcome to CounterSpin, Brenda
> > Choresi Carter.
> >
> > Brenda Choresi Carter: I’m happy to be here. NBC: 'Electability' is the
> > most important, least understood word in the 2020 race
> >
> > JJ: Let’s leap right in. Describe the database—unique, I believe—that
> > you’re working with, and how does your latest running of the numbers
> > challenge the conventional wisdom around electability?
> >
> > BCC: Our database looks at the race and gender of everybody who holds
> > elected office in America at the county level and higher, plus in the 200
> > largest cities. We also analyze the race and gender of candidates on the
> > general election ballot for those same offices.
> >
> > This is, as you noted, a first-of-its-kind database that provides this kind
> > of comprehensive mapping of race and gender and political power in America.
> > And we feel like it’s really important just to actually have the numbers.
> >
> > So we looked at who ran in 2018, up and down the ballot, and who won, and
> > who holds office now. And this is a continuation of studies that we’ve
> > been doing since 2014, tracking race and gender and political candidacy and
> > political office.
> >
> > And we found that when we looked at who was on the ballot in 2018 by race
> > and gender, and who won by race and gender, white men have no electability
> > advantage; they do not win at higher rates than other groups, and, in fact,
> > if you really want to get specific about it, they actually win at slightly
> > lower rates than other groups. So they are not the safe bet they are often
> > assumed to be when thinking about political candidates.
> >
> > JJ: Now, you note at the outset, of course, that white men dominate
> > politics. And so when you say they don’t have an electability advantage,
> > what is it that you’re tracking that is showing that?
> >
> > BCC: The reason that white men disproportionately hold political power—
> > well, there are a lot of reasons.
> >
> > JJ: Right.
> >
> > BCC: But in terms of just looking at the data, it’s because they’re
> > disproportionately on the ballot.
> >
> > JJ: Right.
> >
> > BCC: So when candidates get on the general election ballot, regardless of
> > their race and/or gender, they win at the same rates. So the real problem
> > here is who’s ending up on our ballots, who voters are offered to choose
> > from when they go to vote. Newsweek: Women Are 'Less Effective in Politics
> > Than Men,' 1 in 5 Democratic and Independent Male Voters Say: Poll
> >
> > JJ: So it sounds like Newsweek is assessing
> >
> > it correctly when they say that the research suggests that
> >
> > the over-representation of white men in politics is less about voters� > > � discrimination, than barriers to entry that keep fewer women and
> > people of color from running in the first place.
> >
> > So let’s talk a little about some of the barriers to women and people of
> > color being on the ballot in the first place, that your report notes.
> >
> > BCC: Yes, that’s exactly right. When voters go into the voting booth to
> > vote, they are presented with a ballot that is the result of a long and
> > usually invisible process of selection and support. There are pretty high
> > barriers to entry into politics for everyone, but women and people of color
> > face even higher ones.
> >
> > And, in particular, the problem of political gatekeepers is one that I
> > think even engaged voters often don’t understand, because it’s so
> > invisible. So political parties, major donors, advocacy organizations,
> > groups like the Chamber of Commerce or the Sierra Club, or other
> > organizations that shape who is on the ballot, and which candidates get the
> > support to run and win, are a crucial bottleneck in the system here.
> >
> > Those political gatekeepers are themselves disproportionately white men;
> > they really capture the phrase “old boys’ club.” And when they’re
> > looking around, deciding who they’re going to support for political
> > office, they often choose from their own networks, from people they already
> > know, and from people who end up looking a lot like themselves.
> >
> > JJ: And you note that a lot of that gatekeeping is hidden, really, from
> > public view; by the time you get in the voting booth, it’s already
> > happened. When I think of gatekeepers, I also do think of media; they
> > clearly have a role here, they have their own criteria for electability
> > that has to do with fundraising, but then also they can kind of themselves
> > declare candidates unelectable.
> >
> > Listeners might remember the Howard Dean scream
> > ; media were just like, “Oh, he’s toast,” you know? And everyone
> > said, “Oh, I guess he’s toast.”
> >
> > I think using actual numbers, you know, as you, as you said, at the outset,
> > would be a great advance beyond anecdote, but how could media talk about
> > this set of issues more responsibly?
> >
> > BCC: I do think the numbers are incredibly important here. You know, you
> > really can’t argue with them. And having reality-based conversations and
> > analysis, rather than coverage that’s based on hunches or feelings or
> > conventional wisdom, would be incredibly helpful.
> >
> > Of course, the electability conversation is really swirling around the
> > Democratic presidential primary right now, for very good reasons. There’s
> > so much hand-wringing about whether a woman can win. And, you know, I’m
> > not a prognosticator about political elections; that’s not what I do. But
> > looking at the historical data, we have one data point to look at, where
> > there was a woman as a major party nominee in recent history, and that was
> > Hillary Clinton, and she won a majority of votes.
> >
> > JJ: Right.
> >
> > BCC: It’s surprising to me how often that gets overlooked or swept
> > under the rug in the discussion on this question.
> >
> > JJ: I find something just heartrending about the disconnect, about people
> > saying, for example, as they do, they would be happy with a woman president,
> > but their neighbors wouldn’t be. Or the Democratic poll that said
> > that people said if they had a “magic wand,” this person would be
> > president, but that’s not who they’re going to vote for. It sort of
> > reminds me of parents who say, “ I’m not sorry that my child is gay, it�> > ��s just that I know others are going to be unkind to them.”
> >
> > It’s a kind of pre-worry, based on this kind of Gresham’s law ,
> > that the worst is always going to win out, so we should just do what’s
> > been done, to keep safe. And it ensures that the future is going to look
> > like the past.
> >
> > BCC: Yeah, that’s very well put. I think it’s also, maybe a different
> > way of saying it, it is a kind of illustration of the really diminished
> > expectations that people have come to have of political life and political
> > representation. We are so used to one group, white men—and in most cases,
> > wealthy white men—dominating political life and political decision-making,
> > that to imagine anything else seems just to be almost like it’s hoping
> > for the impossible. But our data shows that that’s not the case.
> >
> > JJ: Exactly. Yeah. Brenda Choresi Carter
> >
> > Brenda Choresi Carter: “The problem here is not, by and large, voters;
> > they are not the reason we don’t have a reflective democracy. They are
> > voting for women and people of color just as often as white men.”
> >
> > BCC: And so that’s why I do think our research and the data that we found
> > is actually incredibly hopeful. The problem here is not, by and large,
> > voters; they are not the reason we don’t have a reflective democracy.
> > They are voting for women and people of color just as often as white men.
> >
> > JJ: And then, because it’s not, after all, an artificial exercise to get
> > more women and people of color into elected office; it’s working towards
> > there being a real relationship between power and people.
> >
> > And I guess I also am very heartened by the report, and I guess I also,
> > based on what we’ve just been saying, I’m also heartened that so many
> > women and people of color see electoral politics as a place for them, as a
> > ground that they won’t cede, despite the way they’re often treated, as
> > we’re seeing right this minute. And so part of my takeaway from this
> > report is that people are thinking, “The water’s not fine at all, but
> > you should still jump in,” if you are thinking of standing for office at
> > any level.
> >
> > BCC: Yeah, I think that’s true. I mean, we saw a real uptick, really a
> > surge of women of all races in 2018, running and winning up and down the
> > ballot. And I think it reflects the incredible urgency that people feel
> > about the moment that we’re in, given how really unwelcoming the
> > political field is to nontraditional candidates.
> >
> > Like you said, the water is not fine. People are still willing to plunge
> > into it, because it’s very clear that leaving decision-making power in
> > the hands of the groups who have long held it, to the exclusion of the rest
> > of us, is not working. And we can’t wait for that to somehow work itself
> > out, because it won’t work itself out. We have to bust in and insist that
> > power be shared in a different kind of way.
> >
> > JJ: We’ve been speaking with Brenda Choresi Carter of the Reflective
> > Democracy Campaign.
> > You can find their work, including the report The Electability Myth