Re: this viewpoint is what I was trying to articulate at restaurant

[robert <http://dummy.us.eu.org/robert>]

I still think that Trump's denials may have ended up killing his support.
Surely, in the long run.

Terribly price to pay, unfortunately.

 > From: Noelle <http://dummy.us.eu.org/noelleg>
 > Date: Sat, 21 Mar 2020 14:58:48 -0700 (PDT)
 >
 > my pals at electoral-vote.com has one answer
 > 
 > Q: Your piece on Republicans in denial on Friday contained no 
 > surprises. But I'm very puzzled that Nate Silver's Trump popularity 
 > polls show approval for him has been increasing since his Oval 
 > Office talk. This even as Fox News has changed its tune. Can you 
 > shed any light on this? S.C., Geneva, Switzerland
 > 
 > A: Truth be told, our answer to your question is that we don't think 
 > his popularity is rising. Silver's graph (which can be seen at the 
 > link above) reveals the same thing you see if you just look at the 
 > raw numbers: Trump's approval rating has been shockingly consistent 
 > since the Oval Office address, varying from 43% to 46%. This is 
 > entirely in line with his pre-COVID-19 numbers; he rarely rises 
 > above 48% or so, and he rarely drops below 38% or so. His base is 
 > very loyal.
 > 
 > Even if you (and other folks) see things differently than we do, 
 > surely we can all agree that his numbers haven't increased by much. 
 > It's not like he's all of a sudden pulling numbers in the 50s or 
 > 60s. And that, in and of itself, is pretty bad news for the 
 > President. Times of crisis are when leaders tend to shine, and tend 
 > to pull their very best approval ratings. Then, when the "shine" 
 > (and the excitement) wear off, and Americans begin to think long 
 > term, the spike tends to crater into a dip. One thinks iof George 
 > H.W. Bush, whose approval rating was up in the nineties during the 
 > Persian Gulf War, and then collapsed down into the forties when the 
 > glow faded and the reality of a bad economy (largely unrelated to 
 > the war) took hold. If Trump isn't even spiking right now, or is 
 > barely spiking, what will happen to him long term, as the costs of 
 > COVID-19, human, economic, and otherwise, become clear?