Re: FW: by Gail from Tricia Baur re; Bend Calculation re: Coronavirus (fwd)

[robert <http://dummy.us.eu.org/robert>]

 > From: Noelle <noelle>
 > Date: Tue, 24 Mar 2020 10:06:11 -0700 (PDT)
 >
 > let us know

To be honest, I think it will be worse here than in Italy.  Or any other
country, actually.

When I made my initial back-of-the-envelope calculations, I had assumed
that the number of infections would peak some time between May and August
and would kill between 500,000 and 1.5 million Americans.  This was based
upon Italy's infection rate.

But, lately, I've been realizing that there are 10s of 1000s of homeless
people and millions of prisoners -- a problem that dwarfs that of Italy,
China, and virtually every other country in the world.  So, it may be
worse than I had originally thought.

So, of course I agree with the math in this article (I've known about
exponential growth for a long time), but I think the social distancing
won't always work and people just don't care about the poor, homeless, and
prisoners.  Unfortunately.

 >  > From: <http://www.cox.net/~d8>
 >  > Date: Mon, 23 Mar 2020 22:42:11 -0700
 >  > 
 >  > This is quite an e-mail. You and Robert should read it.  The math is beyond 
 >  > me but the conclusions may be true.
 >  > 
 >  > Dad
 >  > 
 >  > From: Gail <http://www.cox.net/~g3> 
 >  > Sent: Monday, March 23, 2020 9:26 PM
 >  > To: Donald <http://www.cox.net/~d8>
 >  > Subject: FW: by Gail from Tricia Baur re; Bend Calculation re: Coronavirus
 >  > 
 >  > From: tricia baur [http://www.gmail.com/~tzbaur] 
 >  > Sent: Monday, March 23, 2020 6:59 PM
 >  > To: undisclosed-recipients:
 >  > Subject: Fwd: Bend Calculation
 >  > 
 >  > ---------- Forwarded message ---------
 >  > From: tricia baur <http://www.gmail.com/~tzbaur <http://www.gmail.com/~tzbaur> >
 >  > Date: Mon, Mar 23, 2020 at 4:55 PM
 >  > Subject: Re: Bend Calculation
 >  >     
 >  > 
 >  >      This was forwarded to me by a doctor friend.  I think it is valid and 
 >  >      very important to read.
 >  > 
 >  >     Love, Tricia
 >  > 
 >  > another point  of view
 >  > 
 >  > The Sober Math Everyone Must Understand About the Pandemic | Coronado Times <
 >  > https://coronadotimes.com/news/2020/03/18/the-sober-math-everyone-must-understand-about-the-pandemic/?fbclid=IwAR1U4NsODqCr0kwkFiKfbwrkib5SbbmSC5d9JxdeV4rcbstkwMQArnhTXjQ> 
 >  > 
 >  > The Sober Math Everyone Must Understand About the Pandemic | Coronado Times
 >  > 
 >  > Updated as of March 19 (11:30a PST) Reposted with permission of Jason S. 
 >  > Warner Feature Photo Credit: Steve R. G...