> From: Noelle <noelle> > Date: Sat, 18 Apr 2020 11:51:05 -0700 (PDT) > > but aren't the cruise ship guests skew toward elder, more old than > general population? That's a good point. It may be an example of a worse-case scenario. Don't know. > On Sat, 18 Apr 2020, robert wrote: > > > From: Noelle <noelle> > > > Date: Fri, 17 Apr 2020 11:36:35 -0700 (PDT) > > > > > > https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/17/us/coronavirus-death-rate.html > > > > It seems like you really care about the exposure fatal rate. So, with the > > testing in South Korea and the case of the cruise ship seem like the best > > models for this, which means that the IFR is between 1.6% and 2%. Which > > is still ridiculously high. So, besides being very annoying, could lead > > to death. Which is usually a bummer.